Tuesday, September 15, 2020

Accountants proffer solutions for business recovery

 
15 September 2020

  Accounting professionals have charted paths on how to assist companies increase their chances of survival. 

Amid the COVID-19 pandemic, accounting professionals have charted paths on how to assist companies to increase their chances of survival and return on the path of steady growth.

They highlighted some areas businesses could dwell on to help them respond, recover, and thrive, especially as the COVID-19 caught many companies and industries unprepared, leaving the majority of them as the worst hit. 

The professionals spoke during a webinar organised by the global accounting body, Association of Chartered Certified Accountants (ACCA), during the launch of a report themed, “COVID-19: The Road to Recovery.”

Head, Business Process Solutions, Deloitte Ghana, Kwabena Situ, who spoke on what companies could do when planning the path to recovery, said organisations needed to look at areas of liquidity forecasting.

He said it was important to review clients’ cash flow for the next three months since companies were identifying what mitigation action could be taken to preserve cash in short and medium-term.  

He said the pandemic made clients consider the need to review their lending documents as the majority have now understood the terms.  

Situ, who shared how his organisation had survived and kept their clients during the pandemic, said they were constantly communicating more with key stakeholders including lenders and investors to retain their confidence and support. 

He said it was also important for companies to seek out additional sources of capital, keep their plans and various options constantly under review, work with a flexible plan and advised on how companies could encourage clients to find alternative supplies to meet up the demands.

He said: “The outlook of the impact of COVID-19 is uncertain, therefore, they must work with a short to medium-term plan.

“Most businesses did not have their business continuity plan and even if they had, it had never been tested. We did a quick review of the business continuity plan to see if it could stand the test of time while looking at the likely impact of the COVID-19. Our clients were excited about this. The government rolled out interventions and tax relief and Deloitte organised free webinars and published articles on them.  We helped our clients to take advantage of the tax incentives and reliefs.”

On the impact in Nigeria, Tax Leader, West Africa at PwC, Taiwo Oyedele, shared how innovation around transportation companies who were most hit, tried to adapt by switching to logistics

  Oyedele, who is also ACCA Global Council member, noted that as much as the world is physically distancing, it was getting more technologically connected.  

  Noting that the role of professional accountants is to guide their organisations, he said: “They must properly identify their needs and get the right investment in technology at the right time and must be agile. They must adapt to stay on top of their game. Accountants must find a way to help their organisations to preserve their competitive advantage.”  

 On what the government can do, Chief Executive Officer, Nigeria Economic Summit Group (NESG), ‘Laoye Jaiyeola, said this is dependent on how much resources are available.  

  He maintained that a lot of the workforce is in the informal economy and depends on day-to-day work, adding that data was a challenge.  

He said the approach in Nigeria was beyond government, as “it is a collaborative approach. There is a huge gap between our expected revenue and expenditure and so there’s a limit to what the government can do. The government can give waivers.”

Earlier in his remark, ACCA Director, Africa, Jamil Ampomah, said the Road to Recovery Report outlined three stages in a framework, which provided a recovery roadmap; to explore the priority for recovery with the focus on the hard-hit industries, the role of digital, the technological aspect of doing business, how accounting firms will play a key role, government interventions and the future of work and employability.

Author of the report and Global Head of Business, ACCA, Jamie Lyon, who presented the publication, explained how organisations globally are responding to the COVID-19 crisis, and what ACCA’s recommendations are for charting a path to recovery.

The report maintained that the long term financial impact of COVID-19 seemed to be growing increasingly clear, as leading indicators suggest that the global economy was entering into a deep recession, yet remained impossible to understand the true long term consequences.

The roadmap suggested a number of practical steps in three phases that organisations could take as they chart a path to recovery and build resilience for the future.

The roadmap emphasized on 3As – Act, Analyse, and Anticipate.

It explained that the Act focused on the short term horizon, and the initial few weeks of response to the crisis. It said this stage was critical to ensure the current situation was managed properly, continuity plans are brought into place and the wellbeing of employees is protected.

On Analyse, it explained that the shift to the medium-term horizon reflected the focus on starting to build the path to recovery. 

At this stage, the report maintained that the organisation starts to resume its business operations, planned in manageable phases.

In the Anticipate phase, the report said the longer-term horizon is focused on innovation and understanding how organisations must evolve in the face of the pandemic. Here, the business model and strategies may evolve.

The webinar saw over 1,000 participants across markets, including African nationals outside of the continent like Nigeria, Ghana, Canada, the UK, and the US among others

 

Naira falls on black market after Forex ban for food imports

Naira depreciated by 1.09% to N460 on the parallel market on Monday, days after President Muhammadu Buhari ordered the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to halt dollar sales for importation of foods and fertilizer.

The Naira had firmed dramatically a fortnight ago on the black market following the regulator’s resumption of foreign exchange supply to individuals and investors in a bid to clear a heap of dollar demand.

Yet, sales have been pretty inadequate according to traders, with pressure mounting on the local currency.

Between last year and now, 16.6% of Nigeria’s foreign reserves has shrunken to around $35.77 billion.

Forex liquidity faded out on the spot market after international investors quit the economy in the aftermath of the recent oil crash. But dollar sales by the CBN have been inadequate also.

Turnover on the over-the-counter spot market also called the Investors and Exporters (I&E) Forex window plunged from a high of $1.3 billion in February to a low of $3.9 million in August.

On Monday, Naira traded at N381 to a dollar on the official market supported by the CBN while it was quoted at N385.83 on the I&E Forex window.

“It doesn’t help that some … pronouncement … will likely send more demand to (black) market. These developments put more pressure on the parallel market rates, particularly in the midst of very little supply,” trader told Reuters.

 

Nigeria’s revenue has dropped by 65% —Finance Minister

The Minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Zainab Ahmed, said on Monday Nigeria’s revenue had dropped by about 65 percent.

The minister, who disclosed this at the Nigeria Television Authority (NTA) programme, “Good Morning Nigeria,” said the drop in government revenue was responsible for President Muhammadu Buhari’s decision to discontinue the payment of subsidy on petrol.

She stressed that the retention of subsidy on petrol would lead to fuel scarcity in the country.

Ahmed said: “What we have been doing is not sustainable. If we bring back fuel subsidy, we will fail because we will not be able to pay it and the problem of disputes with marketers will come back, then we will have queues again. We just cannot afford it and therefore this deregulation must be made to work.

“We appeal to Nigerians to understand that in the past when subsidy was done, we could afford to do it but right now, we cannot pay. Remember that right now our revenue has gone down by about 65 percent. So, it is not business as usual. We cannot do what we used to do anymore.”

The minister added that Nigeria is currently facing difficult times like several other countries across the world.

External Debt Almost Two-thirds Concessionary

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Tuesday, September 15, 2020 / 10:20 AM / by FBNQuest Research / Header Image Credit: Ecographics

 The FGN's external debt obligations increased by US$3.8bn in Q2 2020 to US$31.5bn. We see from the DMO's data release that the driver was the disbursement of US$3.4bn by the IMF within its rapid financing instrument (RFI) to tackle external shocks such as Covid-19. (The RFI is free of policy conditionality, which explains why it is available to all members other than those in arrears to the Fund such as Zimbabwe.) There were also increases of US$360m and US$120m in net obligations over the quarter to the World Bank group and Exim Bank of China.                                                                                   

In the absence of new commercial borrowing, the share of the external debt stock that is due to multilateral and bilateral creditors, principally the World Bank Group, on concessionary terms has again risen. The ratio rose from 59.6% in Q1 2020 to 64.5%.

The budget projects external borrowing of US$5.5bn. Beyond the RFI and US$290m approved by the African Development Bank (AfDB) group out of US$500m requested, it hopes to navigate its way around conditionality, led by fx policy, and secure multilateral loans from the World Bank and others.            

The FGN has pledged not to tap the Eurobond market this year. We hope that it will refinance a Eurobond maturity in January with a new issue. It did not accept the G20 offer of bilateral debt relief and did not ask private creditors for comparable treatment. That way, it protected its market standing.

FGN external debt by lender group, Jun 2020 (% shares)

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Sources: Debt Management Office (DMO); FBNQuest Capital Research

The DMO has started to share data covering external loans approved but not yet disbursed. The total from Exim Bank of China is US$1.26bn and JPY2.3bn including one for rice processing plants signed as long ago as April 2016.

A note put out by S&P in June informs us that Nigeria had the fifth highest stock of public external debt in Africa at end-2019. Egypt topped the table with over US$60bn, with Angola, Kenya and Ethiopia all ahead of Nigeria.

 

Nigeria’s inflation rate hits 13.22% in August 2020, highest in 29 months

 

Nigeria’s inflation rate hits 13.22% in August 2020, highest in 29 months

Highest increases were recorded in prices of Passenger transport by air, Hospital services, Medical services, Pharmaceutical products and others.

Nigeria's inflation rate, Headline inflation jumps to 11.61% in October on border closure

Nigeria’s Inflation rate rises to 13.22% in August 2020, highest recorded in 29 months since March 2018 (13.24%). This was contained in the recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

The latest figure is 0.40% points higher than the rate recorded in July 2020 (12.82%).

Food inflation stood at 16% in August 2020, compared to 15.48% in July 2020. This rise in the food index was attributed to increases in prices of Bread and cereals, Potatoes, Yam and other tubers, Meat, Fish, Fruits, Oils and fats and Vegetables.

Core inflation also rose to 10.52% in August 2020, up by 0.42% points when compared with 10.1% recorded in July 2020.

The highest increase were recorded in prices of Passenger transport by air, Hospital services, Medical services, Pharmaceutical products, Maintenance and repair of personal transport equipment.

Others are Vehicle spare parts, Motor cars, Passenger transport by road, Repair of furniture and Paramedical services.

Nigeria's petrol and power price rises upset business owners

Nigeria's petrol and power price rises upset business owners

ABUJA (Reuters) - Daniel Oyelesi, who runs a laundry business in Nigeria’s capital Abuja, is reeling from the double whammy of price rises for petrol and electricity imposed in recent weeks that he says will harm his two-year-old business.

Earlier this month Nigeria’s president said the increases, announced days apart in early September, were needed to bolster Africa’s biggest economy, which for years has been urged by multilateral lenders to remove costly fuel subsidies and change electricity tariffs, both of which held prices artificially low.

Before electricity price rises were implemented, Oyelesi - who works out of a cramped kiosk filled with piles of clothes, a washing machine, tumble dryer and ironing board - spent 20,000 naira ($52.63) on power each month. He said that sum was now likely to last two weeks.

“I won’t say I’m coping... it has not been easy for us,” said Oyelesi. He added that he feared losing customers if he raised his prices.

Ochuko Kosefe, a barber, also lamented price hikes that made him feel “sick”.

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Sat behind a cash desk where he watches one of his two hairdressers cut the hair of a young boy, Kosefe said higher fuel costs meant he rationed the use of his diesel powered generator which, like many businesses in Nigeria, is used to make up for the patchy power supply provided by the national grid.

Nigeria’s economy contracted by 6.1% in the second quarter due to the impact of the coronavirus pandemic and low oil prices. Africa’s top oil exporter relies on crude sales for 90% of foreign exchange earnings.

Last month sources said a much-needed $1.5 billion World Bank loan was held up due to concerns over the implementation of reforms such as the fuel and electricity price changes.

But galloping inflation, which the central bank expects to rise to 14.15% by the end of the year, is increasing costs for businesses and their customers.

Oyelesi, whose words float above the constant hum of a washing machine and the din from the busy Abuja street outside, believes the future is bleak. “If the government does not do something, we might be forced to quit the business,” he said. ($1 = 380.0000 naira)

Writing by Alexis Akwagyiram; Editing by Alex Richardson

 

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